What modulates our Sun? The majority of science work on the principle that the Sun is self modulating and each solar cycle is a product of a random number generator. There are others that suspect the Sun is modulated by the planets with a special emphasis on Uranus & Neptune. Thanks to Carl Smith who has recently left us we have new knowledge that significantly adds to Jose, Landscheidt & Charvàtovà's work.
Below Joe Bastardi from Accuweather.com has some nice things to say about this website.
His original videos from Accuweather are no longer available, but I found one on YouTube.
This page is replaced on a regular basis so below is an extract.
THURSDAY NOON
SINCE THIS WAS IN THE UK TELEGRAPH, THOUGHT I WOULD WEIGH IN...
IS THAT SO?
Nasa warns solar flares from 'huge space storm' will cause devastation.
The headlines are screaming at you in the U.K. Telegraph as sunspot cycle 24 continues along the predicted lines by the people who claim this will be a feeble cycle, not the NASA idea. However, like the IPCC, that won't stop them.
Given what I am seeing going on today in the entire realm of governments, do I have reason to believe a lot of this is a cry for attention? Lest NOAA refuses to recall, this current sunspot cycle was supposed to be approaching its maxima from their forecast several years ago. Due to the hysteria that is coming from our government today on almost anything... from melting ice caps to oil in loop currents (let's remember, it was May 7th that I was on national TV about the imminent threat of oil in the loop current. There is no question the threat is there, that is common sense, but so far it's vastly overplayed, given the idea it was supposed to get in there and be up the East Coast in a matter of weeks. Our own Ken Reeves took them to task for that) to other issues non-environment related, why shouldn't we question such authority? Far more accurate in the prediction of this sunspot cycle has been this site...
They are far more accurate in their assessment than what is going on with NASA and NOAA, who seem to re-write and re-do data. Please get on the site and read what they have to say, and how the way NASA is measuring sunspots is not the way we measured them in previous times, just as they are adjusting temperatures from before the satellite age, and then using the satellite measurements to justify warming. You simply can't change the way you measure things, and then say they are the same. You can't know that people recording sunspots in the early 1800s would have the same count as you have today, when you can see so much more. In any case, it can't get much quieter. I have been watching the site...
...and every time some sunspots show up, they start hyping the big turnaround that is coming. This has been going on for three years. It's true there are more sunspots than last year, but the number and the energy is still way, way down. Look at this:
Scroll down to the bottom and look how bad that forecast is busting... as the one above it is the revised version. Then compare that to what is going on with the link I gave you above. It's the space parallel to the IPCC forecast that showed temperatures simply going up from the late '90s, when overall they have leveled off.
The current Nino spike will be reversed to another dip lower within the next 18 months, and it could be to the lowest we have seen since the '90s.
Of course this graph, by Lord Monckton, is constantly attacked, and for good reason. What it shows trashes what you are led to believe. Here are some possible reasons for all this sunspot hype... 1) You once again could become a victim. That is true. We have all gotten so used to the gadgets we have today that any increase in something like this could cause problems. It's like saying that eventually it's going to rain again, even if it's a hot day. Well, one day it will rain again, and if so you could get wet. 2) The Triple Crown of cooling I introduced three years ago is getting more play. Hint to NOAA, NASA, and whoever else is worried about the climate battle... I will not need volcanoes or low sunspots to get some cooling. The Earth is going to cool from 2012-2030 from where it has been simply because of natural cycles. In fact, the warmth of the globe now is about to hit a huge fall, that not even GISS data will be able to hide (though they will find someway to show it's not as strong as the objective satellite data since the late '70s, and I explained that above with the way they re-adjust temperatures). But I think these people do suspect that the cooling could be amplified if the ideas on the sunspots not coming back strong are right. Since there is a worldwide political elite class clamor for climate (and by default, societal) control, revving up the imminent disasters by the agencies that are pushing this would be logical, especially since I do believe there are people of good will that are sincerely worried about this. I have no qualms with them, and understand and respect their arguments. It's just that they are being co-opted by people that have other ends they want to see.
Now here is the other interesting factor to show I am above-board here. If I am right, it even demands more action on developing energy. The fact is we have handcuffed the fossil fuel industry so much, that the drop I see coming will overwhelm demand. By shutting down areas to keep the planet from "overheating," we have sealed our fate if I am right. So my scenario is actually the bigger disaster scenario as far as energy. So it's not like I win here. As a meteorologist, I could care less where one gets their energy, you still have to know if it's going to be warm or cold (hint Europe, get ready, another cold winter coming... U.S. not as bad, and even mild in the South, where winter was so wild last year). So it doesn't matter if you have an energy company that uses pizza as a source of fuel, you still need to know how much. So I really have no dog in this fight, except to make the forecast. A half degree of warming in the next 50 years is not going to kill the planet. Life likes warmer weather... more things grow closer to the equator than the poles.
So I want everyone to keep an eye on this whole sunspot hype. I will tell you this... I read some papers from back in the early '90s when the old Soviet Union broke up, and there were the Russians, ahead of the game on this sunspot cycle. I did not think much of it then, and I wish I could dig up the papers I read, but they were spot on, so far. Their conclusion was that by 2030 it would be very cold, because of sunspot activity being so low. So far they have been better 18 years away than NASA was two years away. All this may all change, for there is a chance the sky is falling, as such doom and gloom pronouncements would have you believe. My take is that nature rules, and men can only react. In the case of sunspots, I have been watching for two years the forecast of this sunspot cycle roaring to life. I guess if you say something long enough it could come true. You have the links to watch.